Changelog

September 11, 2026

• The projections board now includes all 32 kickers and all 32 team defenses. Set K and DEF starters in your roster and they appear with their own fantasy points, VORP, tiers, and auction dollars; leave the slots at 0 and they stay off the board.
• Both use a separate team-strength model. A kicker's own history barely predicts his next season, so his line is his team's projected field goal and extra point volume at league-average accuracy. Defenses regress toward the league mean and lean on preseason win totals, with points and yards allowed projected by scoring tier.
• Yahoo and Sleeper imports now carry your K and DEF slots and scoring categories. The board has a Kickers and defense scoring panel, filled with Yahoo defaults, for leagues that score them differently.
• Backtested over four seasons against a last-year baseline: defenses rank better and cut error by about 17 percent; kickers cut error by about 15 percent but rank near noise, which is the honest state of the position.

September 6, 2026

• When a bid is won, the shared live view takes over the top of the screen for a few seconds: a SOLD stamp, the player, the price counting up, and the manager who won them, plus that manager's money left, max bid, and roster spots filled. A gold tag appears when the price is the highest of the night or the highest at that position.
• At the end, the player's headshot flies down into the Previous winning bids bar so everyone knows where the sale record lives, and the winning manager's row in Budgets remaining lights up while their money counts down.
• The position section now tracks dollars, not just bodies: each bar is sized by what has been spent at that position, with the total, the number of players, and the average price beside it.
• League history shows up beside every manager's name: a crown for the reigning champion, a gold star for each title, and a slide-deck icon for last place in the latest completed season.
• Pick your room's NFL team in the Live view dialog and every sale of one of their players sends a burst of that team's emoji across the screen with a Nice pick badge. Filling your last roster spot gets a Roster complete tag and confetti, and the halfway lot and the final lot get their own moment.

September 5, 2026

• The Draft board now has a Share live view button. It creates a public link anyone in your league can open, no account needed, that follows your board within a second: who is on the block, every sale with buyer and price, each team's money left and max bid, the roster grid, and the available players in Sleeper ADP order.
• None of your numbers travel with it. The shared view carries names, positions, prices, and buyers only, never your values, tiers, targets, or par sheet.
• You can also track the nomination order: set the rotation once and both your board and the shared view show who is nominating now and who is on deck, advancing after every sale.
• The Rosters screen on both the draft board and the shared view is now a spreadsheet: roster slots down the side, teams across the top, in blocks of up to eight teams, so a 16-team room fits in two blocks with no repeated labels.
• The shared view is built for a TV in the room: the player on the block in big type with the running high bid as you type it, who nominated and who is on deck, how many of each position are gone, the winning bids so far, and every team's money, with Yahoo team logos and player headshots throughout.

September 3, 2026

• Every Yahoo and Sleeper linked league now re-imports its rosters, matchups, and trades automatically each morning, so the Coach, your daily briefing, and League History reflect yesterday's moves without anyone pressing the refresh button in Settings.
• The button is still there for mid-day updates; the morning sweep just makes stale data the exception instead of the default.

September 3, 2026

• Ask the Coach for an export (your roster with projections, a trade comparison, a waiver shortlist) and the reply now includes a table with a Download XLSX button. The file is built right in your browser and opens clean in Excel or Google Sheets, with the numbers as real numbers you can sort and sum.
• Chat exports stay small on purpose: for the full 900-player board, the XLSX download on the Projections page is still the place.
• Also fixed: the Coach could previously claim to have attached or linked a file it cannot create. It now knows exactly how to deliver data instead.

September 3, 2026

• The player values behind the daily briefing and divergence emails were still computed on a retired value curve, which inflated elite quarterbacks well past what the model actually projects. The emails now use the same raw projected-points VORP as the site board, so their numbers match what you see on Projections.

August 29, 2026

• Fixed a share-accounting bug that roughly halved the projected target share of veterans traded mid-season last year: each half of their season was being divided by a full season of team targets. Jakobi Meyers (now WR38, was WR69), Rashid Shaheed, and Davante Adams were the biggest casualties; players who stayed put are untouched.
• First use of the mover exemption: Mike Evans, Michael Pittman, Stefon Diggs, and Romeo Doubs were signed to lead their new receiver rooms, so they no longer take the generic changed-team discount fitted on the typical depth-chart mover.
• A pass over our manual override pins retired four the model had since caught up to, released the Tua Tagovailoa attempt hedge, and re-leveled Jaylen Waddle and Tre Tucker for their current roles.
• The daily model-vs-market divergence report now matches names with suffixes like Jr. and III correctly, so about ten early-round players are no longer silently missing from it.

August 27, 2026

• You can now import a Sleeper league: type your Sleeper username, pick the league, and your teams, rosters, and this season's results come in automatically. No account linking needed.
• Sleeper tells us more than Yahoo does, so your league format (dynasty, keeper, or redraft) and TE-premium scoring are detected for you and pre-filled; you just confirm.
• Sleeper leagues get the same in-season refresh button in Settings that Yahoo leagues have, so the Coach always sees your latest rosters and scores.
• Past-season history import for Sleeper leagues is coming next; for now History shows the current season.

August 24, 2026

• Second-year running backs taken in round one now carry a draft-capital floor on their projected workload, the same mechanism our young tight ends use: a rookie season spent in a committee no longer hides a first-rounder's true role.
• Fitted on seven draft classes and backtested four seasons: running back accuracy improved slightly, the model's hit rate on top-5 RB seasons went up, and 2024 Jahmyr Gibbs, the miss that motivated the change, moves from RB12 to RB5 in the replay.
• The floor can only raise a player, never lower one, applies to roughly three to five backs a season, and touches nothing outside running back.

August 24, 2026

• The VORP board has a new optional column: Ceiling VORP, which credits the top of each position (QB1-7, RB1-7, WR1-6, TE1-2) part of the measured gap between a typical season and an 80th percentile season at that tier.
• It is a championship lens, not an expected points edge: league winners usually come from an elite pick hitting his ceiling, and this column prices how much ceiling each elite rank has historically carried.
• Plain VORP stays the default sort and the expected points view; the info icon on the new column explains the trade.
• Sourced entirely from our own outcome history (the same bands behind the floor and ceiling numbers), with the weights re-graded every January.

August 23, 2026

• Backup-tier and bridge quarterbacks (QB21 through QB32 on our board) are no longer projected as if they start all 17 games: their stat lines now price how long players at that rank historically keep the starting job, fit on seven seasons of weekly starter data.
• This is about job security, not injuries. A benched quarterback is a role outcome the model should price; an injured one is unpredictable, so injury risk stays out of the stat lines and is handled once, evenly, in the value model.
• Top and mid quarterbacks (QB1 through QB20) are completely untouched, and no player is docked for personal injury history.
• Why it matters in superflex: the old full-season lines made replacement-level quarterbacks look closer to the starters than they really are, which pushed QBs down the value board. In 240 simulated managed seasons the corrected board drafted a second quarterback at a sane price and finished ahead of the old board in every league format and every season we tested.

August 23, 2026

• Every player's value is now his own projected points: rankings, replacement level, and VORP are all straight subtractions of numbers you can see on the board, with no historical curve repricing ranks behind the scenes.
• We proved the change before shipping it: in 84 simulated drafts across four past seasons and three league formats, drafting off raw projected points built higher-scoring rosters than every curve-based alternative we tested.
• The old curve quietly inflated quarterbacks in superflex: it priced replacement-level QBs off part-season stat lines, which is why boards showed 11 QBs in a top 20. Josh Allen is still QB1, at a value the simulations actually support.
• The projection engine itself got sharper: every efficiency rate is now tuned against fantasy points instead of raw stat error, improving ranking accuracy in all four backtest seasons, with running back rushing efficiency and receiving touchdown rates trusting proven players the most.
• Depth chart handling is fixed for the new listing format, so late-summer roster stuffing no longer dilutes the projections of real contributors.

August 20, 2026

• Young tight ends with real draft pedigree now project like the market expects them to play: the model prices rookie and second-year TEs on a continuous draft-capital curve instead of tiny historical buckets, lifting names like Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland without touching proven veterans.
• Backtested over four seasons before shipping: tight end ranking accuracy improved and every other position was unchanged.
• Veteran stars who changed teams to lead their new room (A.J. Brown, Travis Etienne, David Montgomery and others) no longer take the automatic new-team share haircut that is meant for role players.
• A fresh round of expert review is in this run too: updated depth charts, the Kamara injury priced into the Saints backfield, and Mark Andrews brought in line with his market value.

August 9, 2026

• The Coach page is rebuilt around the conversation: a full-width chat with one big ask bar, and your recent conversations listed right on the opening screen so you can jump back into any of them.
• The snapshot tab is now NFL News and Trends: injuries and stories on your players as a clean list ordered by value in your league, trending free agents nobody in your league has claimed with projected points and VORP, and the headlines moving the market around the league.
• News items now link to the source story, and every alert on your roster has an Ask button that drops the question straight into the chat.
• The League tab reads like a spec sheet: your format, your roster grouped by position, and exactly what the Coach reads before every answer.
• Analytics is now a market-movement ledger: the biggest 30-day risers and fallers in FantasyCalc trade value, priced for your league's format and lineup. Free-agent targeting lives in NFL News and Trends, and trade evaluations are what the chat itself is for.

August 8, 2026

• Dynasty league environments can now carry full draft-pick ownership: every future pick you hold, the ones of yours owed to other teams, and where each came from.
• The trade calculator picks them up too, so pick-for-player packages price against real ownership instead of guesses.
• Pick data arrives through league syncs; Yahoo-imported environments keep working unchanged until their source can provide it.

August 7, 2026

• The Coach's waiver panel is now a radar: every free agent in your league ranked by market motion, so the post-draft shakeout players surface before your leaguemates notice them.
• New signals per player: 30-day market value trend, the share of dynasty leagues already rostering him, Sleeper adds, current ADP where he has one, and what the FantasyHQ model thinks he is worth under your scoring.
• Rookies get a badge, and a signals column explains every ranking in plain words.

August 7, 2026

• The Draft Board is now four screens behind one header: Pre-draft (set the room, plan your money), the Live board, Rosters, and a new Recap.
• On the block: the nominee now gets a full hero with his headshot, a single Bid up to number, how the price fits your par sheet, points over replacement, and a one-sentence verdict on when to stop bidding.
• Logging a sale is one motion: type the price, tap the buyer, hit Sold. Room money bars show every team's remaining budget at a glance.
• The new Recap grades your night: spend vs plan, projected points bought, your value rank in the room, and the room's best buys and biggest reaches.
• Recap charts tell the market story: implied inflation after every lot, each pick's sheet-vs-paid edge with your buys outlined, and every team's build with the value of each pick.

August 6, 2026

• The model now reads August training-camp depth charts instead of June placeholders, and blends two independent sources (ESPN and Sleeper) into a consensus, with every disagreement flagged for human review.
• Injury reality is on the board: Ricky Pearsall (out for the season) drops to nothing and his targets flow back to the 49ers room, and Atlanta now projects Tua Tagovailoa starting September with Michael Penix Jr. working back around October.
• Target-share adjustments now rebalance across a team's whole passing game instead of within one position, fixing collateral dents the old math left on players like Michael Mayer and Khalil Shakir.
• One founder adjustment was retired because the model caught up to it, and the rest were re-verified against the fresh charts. The receipts still get graded in January.

August 6, 2026

• New for Projections and Coach members: a Draft Board that follows your live auction. Log every sale and watch every remaining player reprice as the money in the room changes.
• Prep ahead of draft day: a par sheet that plans your budget slot by slot, player targets with your own prices, avoid flags, and a nomination queue so you always know who to throw next.
• One-click plan shapes (Hero RB, Zero RB, Stars and scrubs, Balanced), an auto-optimizer that allocates your budget for maximum projected points, and saved plans you can branch and compare side by side.
• During the draft: every team's budget, max bid, and roster so far, tier colors that show a positional cliff before it hits, and a running bank tracking your buys against your plan.

July 19, 2026

• The board now carries 29 hand-set usage adjustments (target, carry, and attempt shares) layered on top of the model, each with a written reason and a date.
• Sample calls: Brock Bowers priced as the Raiders' number one target, CeeDee Lamb back to alpha volume, and firm starter commitments at quarterback where the battles look settled.
• Every adjustment is versioned and stamped into the published run, so in January the pure model and the human-adjusted board get graded separately, in public.

July 19, 2026

• The public accuracy bars were re-scored under the roster-churn fix: WR ticked up from 85% to 86% against the 3-yr baseline.
• Against the expert consensus the model now wins WR rank ordering by its widest margin yet (0.782 vs 0.767) and newly edges TE.
• The RB concession stands: the crowd still out-orders the model there, now 0.774 vs 0.770, and the methodology page still says so.

July 18, 2026

• We caught the model handing 31% of every team's targets to deep-bench bodies, when real seasons settle around 12%, and that phantom volume was quietly shaving the top guys.
• The cause: summer depth charts list about four times more reserves than the charts the model learned on, and every listed body was collecting a full default share.
• The fix makes however many reserves a chart lists split that slot's historical share instead. Accuracy improves at every position in the four-year backtest, and top receivers gain roughly 15 to 25 projected points.
• Expect the top of the board to reshuffle when the next projection run publishes: elite target shares now look like elite target shares.

July 17, 2026

• Click any player row: the 2025-points-to-2026-value story now draws as a column waterfall instead of a list of numbers, so you can see where the value moves at a glance.
• Hover any column for its drivers: the share, volume, and rate splits behind each step, and what rank repricing means for that player.
• The axis starts at zero with no breaks, so a 2-point step looks exactly as small as it is, and the columns still sum exactly from his 2025 points to his 2026 value.

July 16, 2026

• Why the board projects Josh Allen for 8 rushing touchdowns after seasons of 12 and 14: the shrinkage math shown in full, five worked player examples, and three years of matched receipts.
• Also covers the smarter red-zone prior we built and benchmarked, and why it did not make the cut.

July 12, 2026

• The injury-prone label, measured: what two straight hurt seasons actually predict, why quarterbacks are the exception, and why the board projects health.
• The 2026 touchdown regression file: the players whose 2025 touchdown totals ran ahead of or behind their chances, with a promise to grade the lists in January.

July 11, 2026

• A new Research section publishes the data behind the model's decisions, starting with a study of which stats actually carry over year to year.
• First finding in plain terms: a receiver's target share explains about half of next season's, while his touchdown rate explains under 2 percent.

July 11, 2026

• The public accuracy numbers were re-scored under this week's model updates, and the RB accuracy bar ticked up from 83% to 84%.
• Against the expert consensus the model now scores 99.0% of the consensus points error across 2022 to 2025, a hair ahead over the four seasons.
• One honest concession: the consensus now edges us on TE rank ordering, and the methodology page says so.
• The named misses were refreshed too, including moving 2025 Kyler Murray from the wins column to the honest injury misses.

July 10, 2026

• Starting QBs are now projected at their real share of dropbacks, so Josh Allen throws his true 99% of Buffalo's passes instead of a hidden injury hedge.
• Drafted rookie QBs listed behind a veteran keep a sensible floor instead of projecting near zero.
• Running QBs like Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, and Jayden Daniels now project at their team's proven rushing volume.
• Fixed a depth-chart quirk that handed fifth-string RBs phantom carries, which quietly shaved every starter's workload.
• Recent seasons now weigh more in usage priors, so Jahmyr Gibbs actually inherits David Montgomery's departed carries.
• Rankings shifted with these changes, and every one was backtested on 2022 to 2025 before shipping.

July 10, 2026

• Click any player row to expand a full detail panel without leaving the board.
• A per-lane value waterfall splits each player's value into Passing, Rushing, and Receiving.
• A value bridge shows how a player's projected points build up piece by piece.

July 9, 2026

• New driver breakdown answers why a player's projection is up or down versus last season.
• Fixed a brief signed-out flash in the landing page header for signed-in visitors.

July 8, 2026

• Player cards now carry headshots and a side-by-side comparison against the player's 2025 season.
• Removed the QB games-played haircut: boards show healthy-pace stat lines, and you price durability yourself.
• Coach chat now renders formatted markdown instead of plain text.